Rick Scott's work already done? State economists say million jobs coming Florida's way over the next decade.


However, Baker said that this return back to the boom boom years of growth in Florida that stopped in 2007 will take awhile to take hold.  She said unemployment will stay around 11.8% through the first three months of next year, before dropping all the way to 11.6%, which is a quarter later than previously predicted.  She and other state economists say they believe unemployment won't ultimately drop below double digits until two years from now.  Then they predict the recovery will happen, with unemployment continuing to slowly drop until it goes all the way down to 5.5% by 2019.


Doesn't sound like any major recovery happening to us.  Obviously, one needs to take these advanced forecasts with the proverbial grain of salt to some extent.  After all, just four months ago. these same state economists made a similar big picture forecast.  At that time they projected Florida would add a net of 785,000 jobs by 2015.


Rick Scott's team didn't respond when asked for comment about yesterday's announcement.  His plan to "create" those 700,000 jobs of course includes laying off state employees (5%), and rolling back state and local spending to 2004 levels.  Oh, and don't forget his elimination of corporate income taxes and further roll backs of property taxes.

Throughout his campaign for governor, Rick "Let's Get Back to Work" Scott's mantra was that coming from the private sector, he knew how to create jobs.

That's huge of course, by far the #1 issue that people cared about during the campaign.  Conservatives like Scott and Marco Rubio say government cannot create jobs per se, but can create the environment that allows businesses to flourish and expand.

Scott's central economic theme was centered around  his"7-7-7" plan, which he says is his 7 step plan to create 700,000 jobs in 7 years time.  It was derided by some of his foes (none louder than economists for Bill McCollum, one of whom called his plan "silly"),  but state economists said yesterday that by natural forces, Florida will actually  see a million new jobs come online over the next decade.

As the Associated Press reports:

The state now has about 7.2 million jobs, but that's expected to increase to at least 7.7 million by the 2013-14 fiscal year and to nearly 8.3 million seven years from now in 2017-18.

"Our belief is that there is nothing that has changed about Florida, its attraction to other states and other countries and that we're slowly heading back to that same pace," said Amy Baker, coordinator of the Legislature's Office of Economic and Demographic Research. "Over the long run there's still significant growth in our forecast."

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