With the exception perhaps of one outlier, virtually every poll taken on the Florida U.S. Senate race between Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson and GOP party challenger Connie Mack IV has shown Nelson on top. But Mack said they're all wrong and thanks to a record GOP turnout, he expects to beat Nelson in Tuesday night's election.
Mack has said that his fortunes will rise or fall depending on how the man at the top of the GOP ticket — Mitt Romney — fares in Florida. So how would one explain a Mason-Dixon poll conducted for the Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald/Tampa Bay Times that shows Romney up by six points over Obama (51-46), but Mack trailing Nelson by six points (49-43).
"When you oversample Democrats by six points, it makes it difficult for us to win," Mack told CL on Monday at the Romney Victory offices off Gandy Boulevard in South Tampa.
"But Democrats are not going to be six points higher on election day than Republicans," he continued. "In fact, it's never happened in the state of Florida. This race is either tied or we're up by a point or two. That's where we are."
Mack's contention that the polls are skewed is an opinion that is almost universally shared amongst Republicans this campaign season.
This article appears in Nov 1-7, 2012.
