
Candidates are making the rounds leading up to 7 p.m., and will subsequently attend their respective Election Night watch parties.
But for voters, it appears as though the action has already passed, and candidates' last-minute phone calls and public appearances may yield but a few stragglers in the election's final hours.
According to the Pinellas County Supervisor of Elections website, as of 11:30 a.m., some 36,740 of the city's voters have cast a mail ballot, while so far only 5,585 people have cast ballots in person.
At the city's Sunken Gardens polling place, the flow of voters was a trickle at best, and as of 9 a.m. not even 70 people had shown up — that number jumped to 141 by noon.
Here's the breakdown of party affiliation, thus far, among those who have turned out, per the SOE website:
-14,374 Republicans
-21,116 Democrats
-6,841 "other"
Republicans have sent in 12,589 mail ballots and showed up at the polls to the tune of 1,785.
Dems have cast 18,035 mail ballots and 3,081 in-person ballots.
Members of other parties have cast 6,116 and 725 mail and in-person ballots, respectively.
Unlike other elections, even other ostensibly nonpartisan elections like this one, those numbers aren't very telling. For as much party involvement as there has been leading up to Tuesday, the top Republican in the race, former Mayor Rick Baker, has conducted tireless outreach in predominantly African-American south St. Petersburg, and his campaign has planted quite a few yard signs along major corridors there. Conservative and non-party white voters in the city — as well as moderates who are concerned with the city's infrastructure needs — could combine with Baker's south side supporters to push him over the 50 percent mark so he can avoid a runoff.
Or not.
Incumbent Mayor Rick Kriseman enjoys his own share of Democrats and progressives across the city; not just in the south. Most political prognosticators say it's very unlikely Kriseman would make it past 50 percent (especially with the four other candidates in the race), but that he has a good shot at making it into a runoff.
The few polls that have been released publicly this election cycle (most of them via pro-Baker sources) suggest Baker has an edge, though recent events including former President Barack Obama's endorsement could give Kriseman a last-minute boost.
We'll find out after 7.
This article appears in Aug 24-31, 2017.
