Hillsborough is now firmly red, as Florida GOP boasts 10-point voter registration lead over Democrats

The increase in GOP voters and attrition of Democratic voters in Florida is now being replicated in many parts of the country.

click to enlarge Hillsborough is now firmly red, as Florida GOP boasts 10-point voter registration lead over Democrats
Dave Decker
The Republican Party of Florida took a moment to celebrate itself on Tuesday, noting that the GOP now enjoys a 10-point voter registration lead over the Florida Democratic Party, 41%-31%. (The official numbers put Republicans at 40.8% and Democrats at 30.7%).

The remaining 28% of voters are either no party affiliation (NPA) or registered with third parties.

Republicans now hold a 1.353 million voter lead over Democrats statewide, the largest lead it has held over Democrats in statewide registration in Florida history.

In a press release, the GOP is boasting about its leads in previously Democratic strongholds like Miami-Dade County (now more than 35,000) and Hillsborough County (more than 17,000), and notes that they are getting closer in Duval and Palm Beach counties.

“This fight is far from over, but make no mistake — Florida is red, and we’re only getting stronger,” said Evan Power, the Republican Party of Florida chairman.

In Palm Beach County, another traditional Democratic powerhouse, the party’s voter registration lead over Republicans is now barely over 2%, according to Michael Pruser, director of data science with Decision Desk HQ.  And in Duval, the Dems have just a 2.5% lead over the GOP.

Florida Democrats had a more than 134,000 lead over registered Republicans going into the 2020 general election. In 2018, when Ron DeSantis needed a recount to defeat Democratic candidate Andrew Gillum by less than half a percentage point, the Democrats led Republicans in voter registration with by 263,269.

The increase in GOP voters and attrition of Democratic voters in Florida is now being replicated in many parts of the country. An analysis conducted by The New York Times last month showed that in the 30 states that track voter registration by political party the Democrats have lost 2.1 million registered voters between the 2020 and 2024 elections in those 30 states, while the Republicans gained 2.4 million voters.

Florida Phoenix is part of States Newsroom, a nonprofit news network supported by grants and a coalition of donors as a 501c(3) public charity. Florida Phoenix maintains editorial independence. Contact Editor Michael Moline for questions: info@floridaphoenix.com.

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